Friday, August 25, 2023
Thursday, August 24, 2023
HOWARD TULLMAN OPINION IN CRAIN'S CHICAGO
Opinion: It's time for Illinois to turn the tables on Trump
By Howard
Tullman
Credit: Bloomberg
August 24, 2023 10:01 AM AN HOUR AGO
Illinois has a rare opportunity to be one of the first states to adopt the position of many conservative legal scholars and foil the ex-president's ambitions, writes Chicago tech leader Howard Tullman.
One of the saddest of former President
Donald Trump’s legacies is how he has so often made a mockery of the courts and
the law. He understands better than anyone that the courts move painfully slow
— even when they aren’t acting corruptly in his interests — and that delay is
always in the criminal’s favor.
Trump — as indicated by the actual
memos and written proposals of his co-conspirators — also understands that the
current U.S. Supreme Court is more than willing to promote his schemes and
plans by hiding behind bogus formulations about the need for the court not to
interfere with political actions in order to let MAGA supporters do as they
please in terms of election interference.
One of the greatest exposures we have
as a country in the upcoming 2024 election cycle is that Trumpists will
suppress votes, illegally bar voters, and otherwise interfere with and
intimidate election officials and voters, and that the bureaucracy of the
courts at every level and their hidebound protocols won’t be able to quickly
address and respond in a timely manner to prevent these criminal acts before
the elections in question are completed. Trump is an absolute master at using
every right and process which we hold dear to further his corrupt plans and
attacks on our democracy. We could be looking at Bush v. Gore all over again.
But Illinois has a rare opportunity to
be one of the first states to turn the tables and use Trump’s typical tricks
and his mastery of delay against him by adopting the position of many
highly-regarded conservative legal scholars and other academics that Trump is
automatically disqualified from running for president again under Section 3 of
the 14th Amendment to the Constitution by virtue, at a minimum, of his giving
aid and comfort to the mob of insurrectionists trying to prevent Congress from
confirming President Biden’s election. Illinois should announce that it has
determined that Trump's name cannot be included in the 2024 presidential
ballots.
Taking such a position shortly before
the ballots are printed presents a rare opportunity for Illinois to hoist Trump
and the rest of the MAGA crowd on their own petards. There’s no need to await
the outcome of the current trials, which allege a massively more substantial
and long-term plan by Trump and his corrupt cronies to steal the election when
he lost, because we all have seen and heard with our own eyes and ears direct
evidence of Trump’s own actions and attempts to illegally interfere with the election.
The trick is to shift the burden from the good guys to the crooks.
Instead of falling into the morass of
suits, appeals, delays, and the likely and unfortunate outcome that no court
action will confirm Trump’s disqualification in time to remove him from the
ballots, the states should instead take the affirmative action of preventing
his inclusion relying on the self-executing provisions of Section 3 which
require no enforcement any more than the age or other stated limitations and
put the burden of the Trumpists to petition and demand that the courts (up to
and including the Supreme Court) interfere with and interrupt the deliberate
actions of the states to determine and proscribe their own individual voting
rules and requirements.
The obvious karmic charm of this
approach is twofold: Trump will run out of time in seeking relief, and even
this ludicrously slanted and corrupt Supreme Court has repeatedly and
consistently stated that these kinds of political matters (along with abortion
issues) must be left to the individual states. As the oracles say: What comes
around, goes around.
Howard Tullman is
former CEO of 1871 in Chicago, former executive director of the Kaplan
Institute at the Illinois Institute of Technology, and past president of
Kendall College and Tribeca Flashpoint Media Arts Academy.
Wednesday, August 23, 2023
Tuesday, August 22, 2023
NEW INC. MAGAZINE COLUMN FROM HOWARD TULLMAN
You Need to
Reimagine How You Market Your Brand
Some of the big names in
consumer products are losing share because they can no longer demonstrate that
they deserve a price premium. Make sure you're doing the right things to
communicate your product's value.
BY HOWARD TULLMAN, GENERAL
MANAGING PARTNER, G2T3V AND CHICAGO HIGH TECH INVESTORS@HOWARDTULLMAN1
Brands
just aren't bringing it and getting the job done any longer. They used to
represent a shorthand promise based on the simple premise that you could have
basic confidence that you were getting more value for your
spend even if you paid a premium for the privilege. That could be in the form
of quality, durability, safety, ingredients or efficacy -- but we all believed
for decades that something made a brand worth the additional investment. Brands
were also an efficient way to address decision fatigue given the virtually
unlimited shopping and product choices on the web today.
But
now it seems that only those people (entertainers, influencers, gangbangers)
who are utterly indifferent to price are still spending and sporting the top
few big-name brands for reasons having much more to do with reputation,
endorsement payouts and bragging rights than with any connection to reality.
The world's wearing Apple watches these days while the jocks and party people
are still sporting their diamond-encrusted Rolexes. We're never going to
entirely eliminate the ancillary
messaging and emotional considerations that accompany upscale brands that
have little or nothing to do with function or features, but the days of blindly
buying a premium brand for practical, prudent, and economic reasons are long gone
for most products.
When
you read investigative articles that suggest the private label brands at Costco
or Walmart are being manufactured on the sly by the same makers of the branded
goods, it's more than unsettling - it's a wake-up call. People aren't panting
any more to pay up for products that are functionally indistinguishable from
the private labels and even generics, which are being increasingly pushed by
the large retail chains. We're seeing this all over the place, but especially
with respect to the multi-billion-dollar marketplace for over-the-counter
medications.
Millions
of consumers don't believe in much of anything these days, and the MAGAts only
believe Trump, largely due to his eight-year assault on the truth. Brand names
are just one important casualty. The Trumpist war on truth and medicine
throughout the pandemic--which cost them tens of thousands of dead Red voters
-- has really diminished consumer confidence in doctors and drugs in general.
Drugs aren't the whole story, but they're a great early indicator of consumer
brand behavior. As more and more products become confusingly similar and make
identical claims regarding effectiveness, price rather than brand drives the
decision bus.
There
are several explanations for these new customer attitudes toward OTC
medications that will eventually impact the future viability of every major
brand. The players who react and adapt to the new environment and change their
brand messaging, product offerings and customer interactions will survive and
grow; those who choose to rest on their laurels and past performance will ride
their brands right into the ground. Kraft Heinz's lousy results, even with
higher prices, meant a newly-announced CEO. There's still time now - although
Big Pharma doesn't seem to get the picture - and soon there will be plenty of
blame for the losers and also-rans to spread around.
You
could put part of the blame on the pharma companies themselves for clear and
repeated price gouging, which the side-by-side comparative displays at
Walgreens or CVS make abundantly clear to even the most obtuse observer. Wanna
spend three bucks more for a bottle of Bayer aspirin or a tube of Neosporin for
absolutely no good reason? Be my guest.
Of
course, now that Walgreens has decided in its newest urban stores to hide virtually
everything in closed cages or back-of-house, and to use kiosks and
clerks to fill orders, maybe these awkward comparisons, which actually helped
to educate the consumer, will disappear. That would be unfortunate but at least
it won't kill the instant, internet-enabled, comparison pricing for virtually
anything that's going on in every store. This smartphone-based smart shopping
certainly hasn't made life
any easier for the big brands.
Whatever
your budget constraints may be, no one wants to look foolish or feel that
they're being gouged. Mark Cuban's amazing new initiative - Cost Plus Drugs continues
to gain traction and Amazon is jumping aggressively into the pharmacy business
as well, which will clearly help drive drug prices down. It's no accident that
Blue Shield California has announced plans to work with Amazon, Cuban and CVS
on a new distribution system. President Biden's action in locking down the
price of insulin for millions of patients is another amazing step forward.
You
could say that the panache of pharma brands has been hard to polish and promote
when there's so much noise in traditional broadcast channels, where every other
ad is for some disease like TED, RVS or AMD that no one's ever heard of. These
voluminous ads are clearly targeted to the few ancient and infirm people still
watching the tube. Ever since the success of the "purple pill"
promotion, you no longer see the long-recognizable corporate names in their TV
ads. The message is all about some made-up catchy name extracted by an overpaid
ad agency from the drug's technical designation. Doctors now constantly
complain that their patients no longer want diagnoses, they just want the pill
with the cute name or the one that makes the fat go away.
And
while cable subscriptions are largely a function of consumer inertia, the
streamers are spending millions to try to move subscribers upstream to more
expensive, ad-free tiers. They're telling the whole world that ads are
worthless interruptions and an utter waste of time. In many ways, the bipolar
ad industry is eating its own lunch and making its future prospects even more
uncertain.
The
clear implication in all this anti-ad messaging is that only morons and the
poor have to suffer through dozens of ads every day in order to watch reruns,
repetitive ad flights, and pitches for old people. Someone recently said that -
given the average age of its audience - CBS now stands for "Could Be
Sleeping." And that it's really no harm, no foul if you should
happen to nod off because in the online, all the time, connected world there's
really nothing new about the nightly news.
The
message being sent to new generations of prospective viewers (and, obviously,
consumers) is that all of the ads on traditional broadcast channels, cable
stations, and even on much of the new and inexpensive offerings by the
streamers are worthless wastes of their time and attention. As we enter the
2024 election ad cycle and suffer through the noise and clutter and the
indiscriminate spray-and-pray ugliness, the situation will only worsen for the
next 14 months, along with the ability of even the biggest brands to break
through.
The
bottom line for every business is that - while building and sustaining your
brand will be important and challenging - it's even more critical to give your
customers (past, present, and prospective) concrete reasons
to continue to purchase, use and support your products and services.
Two
key things to keep in mind:
(1)
Your team members will be essential to this process because people increasingly
will be more likely to trust your employees, their interactions with them, and
their suggestions and recommendations than anything else. Successful sales
will always be a people business.
(2)
Businesses and their brands in the future are going to have to have and
successfully communicate to the world a purpose beyond
profit in order to connect to tomorrow's consumers.
Sunday, August 20, 2023
A Suggestion to Dump Trump
My reply to David French
Appeasing Donald Trump Won’t Work
Aug. 20, 2023, 6:00 a.m. ET
By David French
Opinion Columnist
I’m going to begin this column with a rather unusual reading recommendation. If you’ve got an afternoon to kill and want to read 126 pages of heavily footnoted legal argument and historical analysis, I strongly recommend a law review article entitled “The Sweep and Force of Section Three.” It’s a rather dull headline for a highly provocative argument: that Donald Trump is constitutionally disqualified from holding the office of president.
In the article, two respected conservative law professors, William Baude and Michael Stokes Paulsen, make the case that the text, history and tradition of Section 3 of the 14th Amendment — a post-Civil War amendment that prohibited former public officials from holding office again if they “engaged in insurrection or rebellion” or gave “aid or comfort” to those who did — all strongly point to the conclusion that Trump is ineligible for the presidency based on his actions on and related to Jan. 6, 2021. Barring a two-thirds congressional amnesty vote, Trump’s ineligibility, Baude and Paulsen argue, is as absolute as if he were too young to be president or were not a natural-born citizen of the United States.
It’s a fascinating and compelling argument that only grows more compelling with each painstakingly researched page. But as I was reading it, a single, depressing thought came to my mind. Baude and Paulsen’s argument may well represent the single most rigorous and definitive explanation of Section 3 ever put to paper, yet it’s difficult to imagine, at this late date, the Supreme Court ultimately either striking Trump from the ballot or permitting state officials to do so.
As powerful as Baude and Paulsen’s substantive argument is, the late date means that by the time any challenge to Trump’s eligibility might reach the Supreme Court, voters may have already started voting in the Republican primaries. Millions of votes could have been cast. The Supreme Court is already reluctant to change election procedures on the eve of an election. How eager would it be to remove a candidate from the ballot after he’s perhaps even clinched a primary?
While I believe the court should intervene even if the hour is late, it’s worth remembering that it would face this decision only because of the comprehensive failure of congressional Republicans. Let me be specific. There was never any way to remove Trump from American politics through the Democratic Party alone. Ending Trump’s political career required Republican cooperation, and Republicans have shirked their constitutional duties, sometimes through sheer cowardice. They have punted their responsibilities to other branches of government or simply shrunk back in fear of the consequences.
In hindsight, for example, Republican inaction after Jan. 6 boggles the mind. Rather than remove Trump from American politics by convicting him in the Senate after his second impeachment, Republicans punted their responsibilities to the American legal system. As Mitch McConnell said when he voted to acquit Trump, “We have a criminal justice system in this country.” Yet not even a successful prosecution and felony conviction — on any of the charges against him, in any of the multiple venues — can disqualify Trump from serving as president. Because of G.O.P. cowardice, our nation is genuinely facing the possibility of a president’s taking the oath of office while also appealing one or more substantial prison sentences.
Republicans have also punted to the American voters, suggesting that any outstanding questions of Trump’s fitness be decided at the ballot box.
It’s a recommendation with some real appeal. (In his most recent newsletter, my colleague Ross Douthat makes a powerful case that only politics can solve the problem of Donald Trump.) “Give the people what they want” is a core element of democratic politics, and if enough people “want” Trump, then who are American politicians or judges to deprive them? Yet the American founders (and the drafters of the 14th Amendment) also knew the necessity of occasionally checking the popular will, and the Constitution thus contains a host of safeguards designed to protect American democracy from majorities run amok. After all, if voting alone were sufficient to protect America from insurrectionist leaders, there would have been no need to draft or ratify Section 3.
Why are Republicans in Congress punting to voters and the legal system? For many of them, the answer lies in raw fear. First, there is the simple political fear of losing a House or Senate seat. In polarized, gerrymandered America, all too many Republican politicians face political risk only from their right, and that “right” appears to be overwhelmingly populated by Trumpists.
But there’s another fear as well, that imposing accountability will only escalate American political division, leading to a tit-for-tat of prosecuted or disqualified politicians. This fear is sometimes difficult to take seriously. For example, conservative podcaster Ben Shapiro raised it, arguing that “running for office now carries the legal risk of going to jail — on all sides.” Yet he had himself written an entire book calling for racketeering charges against Barack Obama.
That said, the idea that vengeful MAGA Republicans might prosecute Democrats out of spite is credible enough to raise concerns outside the infotainment right. Michael McConnell, a conservative professor I admire a great deal (and one who is no fan of Donald Trump), expressed concern about the Section 3 approach to disqualifying Trump. “I worry that this approach could empower partisans to seek disqualification every time a politician supports or speaks in support of the objectives of a political riot,” he wrote, adding, “Imagine how bad actors will use this theory.”
In other words, Trump abused America once, and the fear is that if we hold him accountable, he or his allies will abuse our nation again. I think Professor McConnell’s warnings are correct. Trump and his allies are already advertising their plans for revenge. But if past practice is any guide, Trump and his allies will abuse our nation whether we hold him accountable or not. The abuse is the constant reality of Trump and the movement he leads. Accountability is the variable — dependent on the courage and will of key American leaders — and only accountability has any real hope of stopping the abuse.
A fundamental reality of human existence is that vice often leaves virtue with few good options. Evil men can attach catastrophic risks to virtually any course of action, however admirable. But we can and should learn lessons from history. George Washington and Abraham Lincoln, two of our greatest presidents, both faced insurrectionary movements, and their example should teach us today. When Washington faced an open revolt during the Whiskey Rebellion in 1794, he didn’t appease the rebels, instead mobilizing overwhelming force to meet the moment and end the threat.
In 1861, Lincoln rejected advice to abandon Fort Sumter in South Carolina in the hope of avoiding direct confrontation with the nascent Confederate Army. Instead, he ordered the Navy to resupply the fort. The Confederates bombarded Sumter and launched the deadliest war in American history, but there was no point at which Lincoln was going to permit rebels to blackmail the United States into extinction.
If you think the comparisons to the Whiskey Rebellion or the Civil War are overwrought, just consider the consequences had Trump’s plan succeeded. I have previously described Jan. 6 as “America’s near-death day” for good reason. If Mike Pence had declared Trump the victor — or even if the certification of the election had been delayed — one shudders to consider what would have happened next. We would have faced the possibility of two presidents’ being sworn in at once, with the Supreme Court (and ultimately federal law enforcement, or perhaps even the Army) being tasked with deciding which one was truly legitimate.
Thankfully, the American legal system has worked well enough to knock the MAGA movement on its heels. Hundreds of Jan. 6 rioters face criminal justice. The movement’s corrupt lawyers face their own days in court. Trump is indicted in four jurisdictions. Yet all of that work can be undone — and every triumph will turn to defeat — if a disqualified president reclaims power in large part through the fear of his foes.
But the story of Washington and Lincoln doesn’t stop with their decisive victories. While 10 members of the Whiskey Rebellion were tried for treason, only two were convicted, and Washington ultimately pardoned them both. On the eve of final victory, Lincoln’s second Inaugural Address contained words of grace that echo through history, “With malice toward none, with charity for all.”
Victory is not incompatible with mercy, and mercy can be indispensable after victory. But while the threat remains, so must the resolve, even if it means asking the Supreme Court to intervene at the worst possible time. Let me end where I began. Read Baude and Paulsen — and not just for their compelling legal argument. Read and remember what it was like when people of character and conviction inhabited the American political class. They have given us the tools to defend the American experiment. All we need is the will.
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