In a year of political anger, undecided voters inspire
a special kind of scorn
By
Oct. 19, 2020 at 5:00 a.m. CDT
The
humorist David Sedaris, considering the psychology of the undecided
voter, once envisioned a scenario on an airplane. A flight attendant
comes through the cabin offering passengers a choice of two meals: chicken, or
a ”platter of s--- with bits of broken glass in it.”
“To be
undecided in this election,” he wrote, “is to pause for a moment and then
ask how the chicken is
cooked.”
Sedaris
was writing about the choice between then-Sen. Barack Obama and Sen. John
McCain in 2008 — a bitter election cycle that looks impossibly serene in
retrospect. This year, many people see the choice as something like chicken
(boiled, unseasoned) vs. flying the plane into a mountainside.
How
could anyone not be able to make up their mind between that guy and that guy?
Yes,
they are both elderly White men. But Donald Trump and Joe Biden have pitched
voters on very different visions of America — different ideas about its history
and its future, about justice and mercy, about the truth and how one figures it
out, about how a president (or, really, a person) should behave.
Neither
candidate is a mystery: Biden has been on Washington’s main stage for nearly
half a century, and Trump’s first term has felt about that long. What’s left to
decide?
“To be
undecided in 2020, to me, you literally would have to be on an ice floe,” says
Tom Nichols, a national security professor and senior adviser for the Lincoln
Project. “If you’re just coming back from an Antarctic research station, I
would understand.”
Undecided
voters are the butt of jokes. But they also tend to be venerated — by media, by
campaigns — as freethinkers, tough customers, keepers of a rarefied common
sense that exists above the partisan tug-of-war. They are granted special
audiences with candidates, who must persuade them personally while other
Undecideds look on. They are, says Nichols, “The prized unicorn in the
political menagerie.”
In
2020, they’re the “mentally impaired unicorns,”
said Stephen Colbert on a recent episode of “The Late Show.”
With so
much on the line, the Undecideds have become more mystifying — and frustrating
— than ever.
Nobody
believes they are real.
Oh, and
everyone hates them.
“It’s
like you just want to shake them. What’s wrong with you?
Do you not see what’s happening here?” says Trish Collins, a 54-year-old nurse
and Biden voter from Unionville, Conn. “The size of the rock that you have to
be living under to not know what’s going on in this country right now. I mean,
there are no rocks that big.”
“If
people actually knew the truth, there would be no question,” says Brandon
Straka, a Trump supporter and founder of #WalkAway, a group aimed at getting
Democrats to vote Trump. He attributes undecided voters’ ambivalence on the
mainstream media.
Tim
Michaels, 50, a consultant in Portland, Ore., blames it on stubbornness —
particularly among Bernie Sanders supporters who refuse to commit to Biden.
“They’re trying to pretend as though they’re deliberative, rather than idiots,”
says Michaels.
“I feel
that undecided voters are out of touch with what is at stake,” says Eden
Dranger, a 33-year-old television writer and Biden voter in Los Angeles. She
recently tweeted: “If you ever feel stupid, just remember that there’s still undecided
voters.”
Was it
always this way?
Not
necessarily. You might recall Ken Bone, a moustached man in a red Izod sweater.
The undecided Bone appeared at a town-hall debate between Trump and Hillary
Clinton, asking a question about energy policy, and charmed viewers with his
gentle, genial presence. He became an unlikely folk hero. People wrote him
songs and dressed as him for Halloween (one company put together a “Sexy Ken Bone” costume).
Bobby Moynihan played him on “Saturday Night Live.”
This
year, when Bone reemerged in a Newsweek article (undecided, once again!), Ryan
Zaharako, a 42-year-old marketing copywriter and Biden supporter in Phoenix,
tweeted last week that Bone and other undecideds are “a special kind of moron.”
It got more than 11,000 likes. Zaharako told The Washington Post he feels a
little bad about the mean tweet, but given the life-or-death stakes he sees in
this election for many people — especially people of color and immigrants — he
thinks a harsh tone is justified.
Frank
Luntz thinks undecided voters are just convenient scapegoats, especially for
nervous liberals looking for someplace to put their overflowing vitriol toward
the president. Luntz, a Republican political consultant, knows the Undecideds
better than anyone. He runs focus groups with undecided voters, soliciting
their reactions after presidential debates.
And,
like a passenger on Sedaris’s proverbial plane, “All I get is s---,” he says.
From
critics, that is, who think his panelists are full of it. Luntz thinks that’s
an unfortunate sign of the times.
“One of
the problems in America is that we used to celebrate those who weigh all the
issues, who weigh all the attributes, and make a careful and informed
decision,” he says. Now, “We condemn them because they haven’t joined us in our
declaration of who we support.”
Is that
what the Undecideds have been doing? Carefully weighing
the issues, all the way down to the wire? Greg Shugar, 47, of Boca Raton, Fla.,
says the undecided people he knows think of themselves as apolitical. They’re
not waiting on answers to policy questions. “If you are curious about what’s
going on,” says Shugar, “you are not undecided.”
As for
the Undecideds he sees at the televised town halls, Shugar doesn’t believe
they’re actually undecided. And it’s true that some undecided voters are more
decided than they let on. The conservative Washington Free Beacon reported last
week that an audience of so-called Undecideds at an NBC town hall had
previously declared support for Biden on
MSNBC. And Luntz himself recently called out a member of his focus group who
seemed heavily pro-Trump.
“I
don’t believe that it’s possible that you could vote for Joe Biden, even though
you said it in the screener,” Luntz told her, during the Zoom session. “I’m
going to challenge you right now, I don’t think you were honest in your
application to come into this focus group . . . You’ve got
to be honest because it makes people like me look bad, and it makes the polling
profession look bad.”
According
to the polling profession, undecided voters comprise 2 to 8 percent of the
electorate this year, depending who’s doing the polling. That’s much less than in 2016,
when the Undecideds were 13 percent of the voting public by November.
So yes,
they do exist. And some think Decideds should consider being a bit more
diplomatic.
“The
more attacking I feel from one side, it pushes me away from that candidate,”
says Samantha Thomas, 32, of Cape May, N.J. “Sway me, and do it kindly. You
catch more flies with honey.”
People
“cannot believe that I’m undecided, and it pisses me off,” says Kurt Malz, 61,
a boat salesman in Tampa. Malz voted for Trump in 2016, but has been turned off
by his temperament over the last four years. But he distrusts Biden, “a career
politician.” He consumes media on the left and right, has voted for Democrats
and Republicans — he even voted for Ralph Nader in 2000, in Florida (no
regrets). “I believe that I’m intelligent enough,” he says. “I’m asking a lot
of questions. There’s a lot of things I don’t like. And and I’ve not gotten
that aha moment, you know?”
Jon, a
38-year-old from North Carolina in Luntz’s focus group, requested to go by his
first name because he runs a company with his family name in it, and feared
harassment. He works in a conservative industry, but has liberal friends, and
has experienced such animosity from both sides that he avoids telling people he
is undecided.
“At
least if you pick one side, you’re with roughly half the population. But if you
sit in the middle, then everybody’s mad,” he says.
“It is
like needing to go to the bathroom and your choices are the men’s bathroom or
the women’s,” Jon says. “You can’t just stand there and go in your pants.”
Indeed,
decisions will be made. But Undecideds might not be the decisive factor.
When
there are fewer undecided voters, it can reduce the chance of a last-minute
surprise. When campaigns have fewer people to persuade, they can focus on their
base instead. The winning side might not be the one that sways more Undecideds
but the one that gets their Decideds to the polls, says Lee
Miringoff, director of the Marist College Institute for Public Opinion.
“There’s
a greater incentive for campaigns to just move on and find other groups of
people who are already supportive of them,” says Miringoff.
In any
case, Undecideds still have a couple more weeks. America’s most famous
undecided voter has made his decision: Ken Bone has announced he will be voting for
Libertarian Party candidate Jo Jorgensen, making him the most hated
kind of voter of all: a third-party voter.