Saturday, August 30, 2025
Tuesday, August 26, 2025
New INC. Magazine column from Howard Tullman 4 Reasons You Need to Right-Size Your AI
4 Reasons You Need to Right-Size
Your AI
Sometimes
it’s smart to be careful—and slow—when you’re dealing with new technologies.
EXPERT OPINION BY HOWARD TULLMAN, GENERAL MANAGING PARTNER, G2T3V
AND CHICAGO HIGH TECH INVESTORS @HOWARDTULLMAN1
Aug 26,
2025
This is a very complex
and challenging time for startups and small businesses in terms of how they
should be addressing all of the issues and concerns around artificial
intelligence and, more specifically, how they can incorporate the new AI tools
and technologies into their own businesses. I realize that every startup in the
world already professes to have built AI into their current offerings as well
as into their future plans but, at best, many of these claims are nothing more
than adaptations of machine learning or pattern recognition with a new shiny
coat of paint and some text prediction capability. Sometimes it’s smart to be
careful and slow when you’re dealing with new technologies. The last thing
you want to do is be the latest victim of the fake-it-‘til-you-make-it disease.
It’s not remotely clear
that a surface-level solution built on top of a generic large language model
system will be of much value or benefit to many midsize businesses with very
specific needs and nuanced market dynamics. One size almost never fits all these
days. The implementation and operating costs alone of many of these systems
would likely exceed any concrete internal improvements that addressed the
user’s real needs. On the other hand, a smaller, more targeted, and clearly
focused system whose objectives and functions the company’s management
understands could be a valuable aid and time-saver if properly
deployed.
A side note that should
be obvious but is often overlooked in top-down implementations of new tech is
that you must secure buy-in from your key management and other pivotal team
members and address in advance their concerns and the typical misunderstandings
they may have about the plans, the short- and long-term job consequences, and
other implications of the new systems and their roles in the process.
We’re all rushing to
employ these things before we fully understand them and, worse yet, it’s easy
to come to depend on these seductive tools even when we know in our hearts that
we’re not fully in control of them. You don’t need to cross the chasm in a
single bound. Hallucinations and biases are only two of the most obvious risks
and concerns when you start looking under the hood of some of these programs
and discover that even their makers have only a passing idea of how they really
work.
The big guys in the
corporate world can now rush to join the line of lemmings willing to pay OpenAI
a consulting fee starting at $10 million to send a team of its eager engineers
into their shops to build them custom solutions based on its GPT-4o technology.
You would think that—given the havoc that the DOGE monkeys and minions brought
about across our entire government—these corporate honchos would take a breath
or two and ask themselves whether turning over the keys to their futures to
Sammie’s smarties is the wisest course or whether it’s roughly akin to giving
expensive whiskey and your car keys to the neighbor’s teenage son and wishing
him well on his journey.
If there’s a single
statement that says it all for me right now, it’s the various versions of the
observation that no one’s going to lose their business to AI, but most will
lose their businesses to competitors who are more effectively using AI to
streamline and accelerate their operations, to reduce their headcount without
sacrificing customer connections and satisfaction, and to give them a far
broader and more accurate overview of their marketplace, their competition, and
timely intelligence and data to react to emerging positive and negative
trends.
The best and quickest of
the players will rapidly realize that the hours and days they previously spent
pouring over voluminous market data, analyzing their often incomplete and
delayed compilations, and attempting to extract actionable information from the
mess will now be replaced and made available in real-time detailed summaries
crafted by young and clever prompt engineers.
The truth is that—with
regard to the introduction of any new and disruptive technology—it will take
every business a significant amount of time to learn how best to deploy it and
how to deal with the displacements, interruptions, and new responsibilities and
job descriptions that will accompany it and inevitably cause
problems.
Walking before you
run—especially if you’re trying to do this development and implementation
basically on your own—is the only rational and cost-effective course. It’s
critical to keep in mind that you can always circle back and build better and
more robust versions of what you’re initially experimenting with. It’s not
likely to be an overnight project or an overnight success, but each iterative
step will teach you a great deal, further empower you, and also help you to
better understand the capabilities of the tools you are using—even as those
abilities continue to grow and expand every day.
What’s most important is
for you to take the time to gather your team and review your operations and
outline the areas where some intelligent automation could speed and simplify
your own processes and actually produce a better result. In the first instance,
none of this needs to be rocket science. Guesty is a legitimately AI-assisted property
management system that was designed specifically for short-term rentals handled
by Airbnb owners and operators.
While this sounds about
as mom-and-pop as can be, these folks face many of the same issues you do in
your businesses—albeit at perhaps a smaller scale. The point is that, if this
kind of simple use-case can show dramatic improvements in their metrics and
their bottom lines, then shame on you if you haven’t figured out how to
replicate these tools and techniques in your own shop.
Here are four simple
examples that a satisfied Airbnb operator told me has increased his yield and
profit, dramatically decreased the time he was spending each week on his side
business, improved his ratings and rankings with Airbnb, and led to repeat business
and referrals from satisfied customers. And to be clear, I think he spends
about $30 a month for the app. Eat your heart out.
1. Hundreds of stored
FAQ responses are delivered automatically in context-sensitive and narrative
serial fashion
You would be surprised
and possibly shocked to learn how many times a day your team members waste
their time repeatedly responding to and answering the same questions over and
over again. Often, they do it slowly or inaccurately and eventually they do it
impatiently—human nature being what it is—and none of this is good for your
business. Automated responses can satisfy a significant number of callers who
have simple, redundant inquiries and, more importantly, can deflect the wrong
callers by simply and quickly making it clear to them that they are looking in
the wrong place.
Pricing is dynamic 24/7
and throughout each week based on a variety of factors and competitive
offerings in the market as well as available capacity
While in theory you
could spend your entire day checking out competitive offerings and prices and
adjusting your offers accordingly (and clearly Amazon does its pricing in this
fashion every minute) and you could also constantly check your bookings through
the week and determine whether price reductions might absorb available and
empty units, rooms, or beds (just as American Airlines does all day long), the
fact is that neither you nor anyone on your team has the time or interest to do
anything like this, but the Guesty system
does it automatically for you according to your guidelines and parameters
instantly every day.
Publish and sync your
listings in real time across more than 50 major listing services including all
the major sites
You may use programmatic
tools (with very little actual accountability) to get your messages out to the
masses, but, in truth, you have little idea of who is seeing them and
absolutely no real time ability to change or update the content or distribution
plan. Intelligent systems using open APIs across multiple platforms give you a
one-stop solution to precisely target and deliver your messages to qualified,
interested viewers in the proper context with the ability to vary and alter any
portion of the listings that you wish at any time.
Responses to every
inquiry are immediately replied to even if the reply is merely a placeholder
and conversation starter
Not surprisingly,
response time is a measurable metric that firms like Airbnb use to evaluate the
owners and operators on their site who use their services. Automated
intelligent systems can respond instantly to every inquiry even if the response
isn’t a substantive answer, but only a request for further info, details, or
specificity to continue the conversation. In addition to managing the Airbnb
metric, this immediate reply improves customer satisfaction and engagement
without consuming any incremental resources until the lead is further
qualified.
Bottom line: While these
examples may not directly apply to your company’s needs and current operations,
each of them is an invitation and a suggestion to explore similar kinds of
concerns and friction within your own organization and to see how AI and intelligent
automation can help to address and improve things.
Tuesday, July 08, 2025
NEW INC. MAGAZINE COLUMN FROM HOWARD TULLMAN
SUCCEEDING ON SUBSTACK IS TOUGHER THAN IT LOOKS
Many
years ago (and more recently again in the midst and aftermath of the pandemic)
I warned the thousands of smart, middle-aged, corporate executives who had been
fired and had decided to embark upon an entrepreneurial adventure (which would
be seeded by their severance pay and/or their savings and retirement funds) that
it was much, much harder to launch and sustain any startup venture than they
imagined and that the vast majority of them were utterly unsuited for the task.
(See https://www.inc.com/howard-tullman/should-you-start-a-businss-now.html.)
Not
only were so many of these folks temperamentally unfit for the constant ups and
downs of the process and completely unaware of the many operational and
cultural differences in the DIY startup world, but their past experience would
also not only weigh them down and be wholly discounted, but it would also make them
even more unlikely to succeed. (See https://www.inc.com/howard-tullman/so-your-kid-wants-to-be-an-entrepreneur.html.) Many of these people couldn’t even run their
own bath. Not everyone is cut out to be a diva, a prophet, a speed demon, or a
huckster.
Unfortunately,
between the massive federal layoffs initiated by the Orange Monster, the
cutbacks and staff reductions driven by threats to reduce or eliminate grant
and public media funding, and the accelerating demise in general of so many
parts of the media business, as Yogi Berra used to say: “it’s déjà vu all over
again”.
Worse
yet, no one seems to recall the debacles of the dot com years, the implosions
of the real estate and financial markets, or the fact that these days the “gig”
economy and the world of wunderkind “influencers” look more and more like a
“share the scraps” cesspool – lots of noise, no signal, and no money – inhabited
by a miniscule number of winners and millions of losers.
So,
with specific reference to opinion writers, talking heads and news readers, and
former network journalists, it’s been very hard for me to watch the daily
departures of mature, experienced, and well-respected media mavens and mentors
who are all intent on jumping with both feet into the new highly uncertain world
of blogs, newsletters, podcasts, and videos. They’ll all be Substackers soon - whatever
that may eventually mean and whether or not they end up liking it. I hope they
learn to like it because there’s no going back for them even if there’s still a
glimmer of the great news businesses that used to be.
And,
as hard as their lives had arguably become in an environment where the truth
took a consistent and humiliating backseat to corporate and financial considerations
as well as outright fear of Trump’s threats and lawsuits, they’re about to go
from repeatedly pushing a stone painfully up a hill like Sisyphus to racing rapidly
down the other side while hanging on for dear life with both hands. And, just
as you learn in racing, in the insane hurry up economy, nobody waits for
you.
They’ll
learn quite quickly that other people don’t always dream your dream and that
their allegedly “built-in audiences” are frugal, fickle and lazy to boot.
They’ll basically love you ‘til they don’t and the Patreon model (https://www.patreon.com/login ) that they’ll pay because they love you or
want to support your crusade is a financial fantasy. They’re most likely not to
follow you anywhere, even for free, because free isn’t cheap enough. Brand
extensions aren’t automatic or givens: Cheetos Lipstick, Harley-Davidson
Cologne and Colgate Beef Lasagna were just a few attempts that bit the bullet in
no time at all.
As
someone who’s seen and written about these kinds of radical transitions for
more than 50 years, I feel an obligation as well as the need to revisit my
earlier cautions and to offer a few important observations that are likely to
have been overlooked in the frenzy to move forward.
You Can’t “Ape” Your Way to Success.
In
this noisy and cluttered new media world where everyone is competing for a
small slice of a finite and shrinking pool of attention, the primary key to
success is differentiation at a time and in a context where thousands of others
are trying to do the same thing. You need to start from the premise that no
one’s interested in the old models or the tired formats of the past. And
honestly, older white-bread white guys aren’t in such great demand either.
The
“news”, such as it is these days, is already everywhere, stale by the time you
see it, and free. Regurgitating the same old stories – even in an ultra-timely
fashion – simply won’t get the job done and no one wants to pay for it. You’ve
got to have a new take, have a hook to set yourself apart, figure out how to
attract a viable portion of the world’s attention at least for a moment, and
then deliver consistent and valuable content every day in order to hold your audience.
It’s a “what have I heard from you lately” world with a million alternatives
just a click away.
While
John Chancellor once said that the function of good
journalism is to take information and add value to it, the truth is that the media
business today is far more about entertainment than education. It’s about
looking, listening and laughing rather than leisurely learning. About fear and
anger rather than fashion or foresight. Enragement, not engagement. The key
seems to be pithy, bite-sized, observations and outsized opinions rather than
painstaking analysis, careful commentary, or attempts to prove anything. People
aren’t looking for proof – they already know what they believe – they’re
looking for confirmation and reassurance. The truth has as much to do with this
process as mustard does with ice cream.
You Don’t Get Paid Until You Pay Your Dues.
Ignoring
the wisdom and lessons of decades urging folks to try before they buy, whoever
is advising these newcomers to put out a few interesting paragraphs and then
slam up a subscription paywall to interrupt the initial experience is a moron.
This strategy is a slight cut above pure clickbait, but to any serious person
and interested reader, it’s just an offensive turnoff and utterly
counterproductive because instead of introducing the prospect to compelling samples
of the author’s work, it shuts the door without a single example and generally
results in a swift click away. Email subscriptions, after some introductory
exposure, make sense especially because you build a direct connection to your
reader, but paywalls are a complete waste.
You’ve
got to be willing to invest your time and effort for a while at least without
expecting any financial return regardless of your experience, talent, brand or
prior reputation. The best players under-promise and over-deliver, which makes
for a strong connection, a lasting relationship, and even a willingness to pay.
All smart business is ultimately based on patiently building relationships. If
you’re in it just to make a quick buck, you might just as well be selling
shoes. You don’t want to be splitting up the loot before you rob the
train.
As
much as it can appear to be a frantic race and a contest, in the long run, the
people who survive will have built a small, but passionate community of
followers who are willing to support their work financially because they trust the
authors and because they find real value in the work. The authors, in turn,
will be authentically connected to their followers and able, at the same time,
to create content that is meaningful and satisfying both to themselves and to their
fans. It’s not about beating the others; it’s about building a valuable business
for yourself that you can be proud of. You get the chicken by hatching the egg,
not smashing it.
You Might Not Have the Stomach to Do What It
Takes.
One
of the reasons I retired from practicing law was that, as corporate litigation
became increasingly expensive and lengthy, the clients eventually lost their
appetite for the battle and their willingness to pay the required costs for
doing the necessary work correctly and completely. Doing a halfway job wasn’t
my style just as discouraged and disappointed doctors every day are told by
indifferent clerks and flunkies working for insurance companies that they don’t
care to pay for certain medical tests which the professionals feel are
essential to properly diagnose and treat their patients. Even apart from the
desire to take pride in the work you do, no one gets into these professions to
do a crappy job.
In
the same fashion, experienced journalism professionals who’ve spent their lives
and done their work according to long-established standards of honesty,
fairness and objectivity - supported by talented staff and plenty of resources
- may simply not have the stomach or willingness to take things of importance,
depth and substance on the fly without the time to properly investigate or
prepare and then proceed to simplify and hollow them out so that they can be swallowed
by their audience without chewing or thinking. Patience, prudence, modesty and humility have
no real place in the attention economy. It’s a war zone with no bottom.
You Might Not Have the Stamina to Stick It Out.
It’s
hard, if not impossible, for a man or woman in their 40s or 50s with a full life,
a family, a home and various other financial commitments, to compete effectively
and flat-out every day on a 24/7 basis with kids in their teens and young
adults who have absolutely nothing else in their lives, no reputation or
integrity to preserve and protect, no moral inhibitions, incomparable levels of
shamelessness, and few ethical constraints. The new adult entrants talk about
freedom and independence without recalling Janis Joplin’s note that: “Freedom is
just another word for nothin’ left to lose”. They’re putting their whole lives
and careers on the line to compete with kids having their latest lark and
living on their parents’ dime.
Outsiders
and grown-ups rarely understand the daily grind of feeding the content beast along
with the physical pressures, mental stress and difficulty of getting on the
non-stop creation treadmill. You’ve got to fill the void with something every
day. When you add in the responsibilities of developing, marketing, managing
and operating the other aspects of building a new business in an impossibly
competitive industry with thousands of players all chasing a shrinking and
cluttered pool of interested readers, listeners and viewers, it’s easy to see
why it’s not a business for the faint-hearted or for those who are already
fatigued and burnt out.
You Might Have Already Missed the Boat.
Finally, and
unfortunately, you can’t turn back the hands of time and you might just be too
late to the party to make a go of it. These spaces are already crowded, and
they already demonstrate the same “winner take all” tendencies of the tech
world. A few big names will emerge, a few platforms will dominate and deliver,
and the costs of entry and participation - which once formed significant moats -
have already become trivial and are about to be totally obliterated by A.I.
You’ll know in relatively short order the
answers to some of the critical questions above. If it’s not working or working
for you, don’t kid yourself and continue. It’s never too soon to turn back if
you’re on the wrong road.
Friday, July 04, 2025
Tuesday, June 17, 2025
NEW INC. MAGAZINE COLUMN FROM HOWARD TULLMAN
Why Now Is the Time to A.I. Audit
Your Business
A.I.
isn’t an optional add-on. It’s foundational and roughly equivalent to
electricity or the internet.
EXPERT OPINION BY HOWARD TULLMAN, GENERAL MANAGING PARTNER, G2T3V
AND CHICAGO HIGH TECH INVESTORS @HOWARDTULLMAN1
Jun 17,
2025
In most of my
conversations over the last year with new business owners and seasoned
operators, all of whom are all concerned about ChatGPT’s impact on the economy,
I’ve found an interesting contradiction in the way entrepreneurs are
approaching the use and incorporation of A.I. I see a whole lot of wait and see. Is
it a genius or a clown?
While the novelty is
starting to wear off, and the hiccups and hallucinations are certainly reasons
for caution, the critical need to investigate, engage with and integrate these
new technologies has yet to be fully appreciated and folded into the planning
and operations of millions of businesses that really can’t afford to wait.
They’re taking their time when the time to move is now and the timing couldn’t
be more critical.
It’s not that hard to
see why they’re conflicted. They’ve lived their entire business lives
trying to be innovators, first movers and early adopters of new technologies in
order to stay ahead of the competition. The “ready, fire, aim” attitude has mostly
served them well over the years. But the truth is that smart entrepreneurs are
far more careful and conservative than we’ve been led to believe. In fact, many
are control freaks.
So, when they’re
confronted with a pitch that basically says they should turn over some of their
business processes to the “machine” because it will be good for their bottom
line, they’re more than a little wary and reluctant to jump right in. 00:0001:49
Add to their basic
mindset the fact that they understand almost nothing about how these black
boxes really work, that they rarely have anyone presently onboard who can help
them learn or who is up-to-speed on AI themselves, and that things seem to be
moving ahead and changing at a ridiculously rapid pace. This makes for a
perfect formula for angst and analysis paralysis. But, as is always the case,
worrying never gets you anywhere and standing still is never the right
solution. A bad decision is often better than no decision at all.
The good news is that
there are simple and cost-effective steps forward –“toes in the water” if you
will – that every company can take to get the ball rolling, and none are “bet
the ranch” actions or expensive decisions. They’re simply smart ways to get
smarter sooner.
Every business today
needs to conduct an AI audit if they don’t want to be left behind. AI isn’t an
optional add-on at this point; it’s foundational and roughly equivalent to
electricity or the internet. In the call center industry, for example, it’s now
estimated that AI
agents will handle 70 percent of all contacts by 2028.
The first order of
business doesn’t require technologists or AI experts. It’s simply a
comprehensive review by your senior leaders of various areas of the business
where AI may be able to help. Not, to be sure, by working immediate miracles
(in spite of all the hype about eliminating hundreds of jobs overnight), but by
helping you identify improvements, import better practices, and eliminate
obstacles in your current operations.
In my experience, this
audit and review exercise also encourages your people to do some wishful
thinking, to look forward to what could be, and to even think outside of their
day-to-day, nose-to-the-grindstone activities and responsibilities. It’s a literal
license to iterate and constantly improve.
Broadly speaking, I’d
break the critical categories down into four major buckets: automation of
various internal processes, automation of various external processes, cleaning
up and streamlining basic operations, and all your employee issues from augmentation,
robotics, and realignment to concerns around recruitment and retention.
Once you’ve built a hit
list and a wish list, you can bring in some professional help, a prompt engineer or two, and other AI resources to
start building some solutions. Here are four examples.
Internal processes
The long-term dream of a
paperless digital world remains a remote and ambitious fantasy for millions of
companies still drowning in reams of paper reports, receipts, requisitions, and
records of all kinds. From the accounting department to the shipping center and
personnel department, AI tools will create massive improvements in the
traditional systems and antiquated procedures used in virtually every business,
government agency and regulatory authority. Automation, digital records and
AI-enabled identification processes will improve diagnostics in medical
facilities, security in all of our transportation hubs and public areas, and in
the entire finance world.
External processes
As the world becomes
increasingly comfortable with ATMs, self-service checkout counters, and other
forms of automation, AI systems can speed up, simplify, enhance and scale all
of your front-of-house interactions with customers, clients and consumers including
sales, service, and support. Millions of bank customers already acknowledge
that they would rather not deal with a teller if efficient alternatives were
available. AI tools can also streamline, simplify and optimize websites which,
in many instances, companies haven’t reviewed or updated in years to improve
customer experience and speed up the process.
Basic operations
Real-time review,
ongoing support and enhancement, and timely intervention to avoid problems,
breakdowns and other system interruptions are already being implemented in
manufacturing firms around the world. The ability to project needs, demands and
resource requirements will build even further upon the economic success of many
just-in-time supply and warehousing chains and save huge amounts of time and
money. Having AI systems review months or years of prior actions and activities
and generate detailed analytics on the fly will provide insights, new
directions, and even concrete suggestions for process improvements and better
use of personnel and other materials and resources.
People
AI and related
intelligent agentic devices and robotics can augment and supplement the work
done by your employees to improve accuracy, capacity and safety as well as
avoiding burnout, repetitive behavior injuries, and human errors. Systems are
already being designed to identify, evaluate and categorize job applicants on a
variety of criteria, to assist in scaling and speeding their documentation,
onboarding and training, and to outline and create multi-year individualized
career paths for each team member which serve as great recruiting tools and
help to manage education, expectations and attitudes as well as improving
retention. MIT and Nvidia Research have already developed a new algorithm that
enables a robot to “think ahead” in a planning process and evaluate thousands
of alternative paths in seconds.
The bottom line is, you
don’t know what you don’t know about your own business until you ask. Now’s the
time to start asking. There’s no better, more cost-effective system than an AI
system built for and based upon your own data as well as employing comparable
data and other information drawn from the industry, your competitors’ reports
and activities, and all manner of other external information and data sources.
An AI audit is step number one.
Tuesday, May 06, 2025
NEW INC. MAGAZINE COLUMN FROM HOWARD TULLMAN
Money
may be pouring into A.I., but if you’re looking to start a business, there’s a
huge market in more mundane areas, such as serving the rapidly growing number
of seniors.
EXPERT OPINION BY HOWARD TULLMAN, GENERAL MANAGING PARTNER, G2T3V
AND CHICAGO HIGH TECH INVESTORS @HOWARDTULLMAN1
MAY 6, 2025
It seems that every
young entrepreneur these days is racing to imagine, build and deploy new
AI-infused products and services to meet expected and often wished-for demands
for solutions to unknown problems and cures for unknown diseases. They speed
ahead whether or not it makes even the slightest sense to incorporate AI as a
critical component of what they’re hoping to build.
It’s also unclear that
they even understand exactly what they’re pitching when pressed to explain the
technology beyond the superficial buzzwords that ChatGPT will happily supply
for them. But nobody wants to miss the parade. And equally anxious investors
are chasing similar dreams and throwing money at these stories with reckless
abandon, as long as the pitches contain those magic words.
This frantic approach is
costly, risky, uncertain, and the playing field is already grossly
overpopulated with well-funded participants of all sizes. Yet because the
underlying platforms that drive all these efforts are already largely
controlled by a few tech giants, the ultimate economics of even the most successful efforts will be
questionable.
While all the challenges
and obstacles are clear, no one honestly knows what the demand for any of these
offerings will be, and how any startup will be able to differentiate itself,
reach critical scale, and avoid being crushed or obviated by the big guys. This
is going to be a heavy lift and a long haul for rewards that are speculative at
best.
The opportunities in our
aging population
Forget the shiny
objects: there are huge unmet opportunities to create simple, inexpensive and
effective offerings for the immediate problems of millions of older consumers
in our rapidly aging population. Businesses that represent attractive
investments at considerably lower risk. Where entry and minimum viable product
(MVP) costs are low, milestones and success metrics are easy to define and
measure, and it should be clear in a relatively short time whether the dogs are
interested in eating the dog food.
In 2025, more than
11,000 Americans will turn 65 every single day, or about four million folks a
year, driven by the Baby Boomer generation, (born between 1946-1964). New and
important products and services for boomers don’t require the capital, compute,
natural resources, or technical expertise associated with chatbots, LLMs or
next-gen AI models. These people have problems, plenty of cash, are still
inexpensively reachable through traditional media channels and membership
organizations, and they acknowledge both their needs and the need for
solutions. They don’t require convincing as much as they simply need to be
informed, educated and encouraged to act in their own best interests.
Apart from bragging
rights, shiny object syndrome, and peer pressure, you have to wonder why more
new business builders aren’t focused on meeting these massive, albeit mundane,
needs. They could make a great living while they’re at it. I realize that
good, solid businesses might sound boring to certain people looking for the
next moon shot, but it’s hard to miss some of these substantial market gaps
when they’re staring you right in the face.
You can call this
strategy “catching the next age wave” and it reminds me of a great Warren
Buffett quote. He said: “I don’t look to jump over seven-foot bars; I look
around for one-foot bars that I can step over.”
Three considerations about
the market
Broadly speaking,
especially if you’re an involuntarily unemployed grown-up looking for a new
challenge, I’d suggest investigating three critical areas of non-medical, elder
assistance where there are immediate openings to set up shop without even
leaving your home or neighborhood. A little planning, some modest preparation,
and a little research will save you a lot of time, money and shoe leather. Your
friends, family and neighbors will readily support leads, suggestions and
recommendations as well as introductions to more prospects and target customers
and consumers than you can imagine.
Why? Mainly because
there are no communities in this entire country without thousands of
individuals in need of these kinds of services and support. Three initial
observations to provide some context.
First, many of these
services may exist for high-end, well-banked and connected individuals, but
they are virtually non-existent for middle-class consumers of any advanced age.
Second, to the extent
that any of the vendors purport to offer any in-person services along these
lines for technology products or mobile devices as opposed to tele-support, the
delivery personnel are universally abrupt, impatient and unempathetic kids who
no one wants to deal with, or welcome into their homes and private matters, and
who are typically somewhere on the behavioral spectrum. There’s a reason Best
Buy’s guys are called the Geek Squad.
Finally, and more
generally, the ideal entrepreneurs and operators of new service providers in
these areas will not be young people. They are mature individuals, disciplined
and hardworking, coming from prior careers in the corporate world, insurance,
banking, and even government, and who are organized, well-groomed, seasoned and
presentable.
Three services the market
needs now
The key areas where I
see very few players, but lots of potential, are assisted access, assisted
giving, and assisted relocation.
Assisted Access Businesses are
those primarily addressing the needs of seniors who have been left behind by
the rapid advances in technology. Services can include simplified tech support
and user education; hands-on, hand holding and in-person training; application
installations and regular updates and upgrades of equipment. Seniors need
all manner of confidentiality protection, device security and storage, as well
as recording, retention and retrieval of critical information regarding their
finances, passwords, bank and service accounts, and other verification
procedures and scam warnings.
Assisted Giving
Businesses address a different area
in which seniors and homeowners in particular are uninformed, unsupported and
largely incapable of acting efficiently and intelligently. While there are
zillions of criminal and fraudulent schemes targeting seniors that purport to
be serving charitable and philanthropic causes, here again my focus is on some
much more mundane, but no less important, services. Boomers have needs and
concerns regarding the timely, pre-death disposition of personal property,
artwork, family heirlooms, and jewelry, for example, which may be generically
addressed in formal wills and estate documents, but which typically are much
better and efficiently addressed while the owners are still living.
Unfortunately, here
again, with the exception of a tiny percentage of precious objects and works by
well-known artists (which are still difficult to have appraised or sold, even
at auction), there are simply no organizations, services or other providers to
help seniors plan, inventory and then rationally and prudently dispose of these
objects. Of course, some portion of the property and other possessions may be
desired by family or heirs, but in most cases – even if nearby family members
have some modest interest in assisting – the burden of all the effort
ultimately falls on the seniors.
Assisted Relocation
Businesses help seniors quickly and
efficiently sell their homes at realistic prices and also simultaneously
provide guidance and support for these individuals to move into smaller owned
or rented properties or into assisted living facilities. Moving Station is
one of the smart early players in this space. This is a very complex area and,
in most cases, requires close coordination to ensure smooth transitions. One
other difficult and emotional part of these transactions is how painful and
agonizing they can be for all of the parties concerned and especially other
younger family members. Having objective, independent and supportive
intermediaries is a crucial component for closing these kinds of deals in a
timely fashion.
Ultimately, what the
most successful operators of these new businesses will be selling are
themselves as well as comfort, reassurance, and attention to detail. No one’s
gonna care how much you know until they know how much you care….about them,
their affairs and their future.
Tuesday, March 04, 2025
NEW INC. MAGAZINE COLUMN FROM HOWARD TULLMAN
Has there ever been as
much hype about a product that has yet to prove its value for most businesses?
That doesn’t mean you shouldn’t take a hard look at what AI might do for
you.
EXPERT OPINION BY HOWARD TULLMAN, GENERAL MANAGING PARTNER, G2T3V
AND CHICAGO HIGH TECH INVESTORS @HOWARDTULLMAN1
MAR 4, 2025
You just might need AI to help you
list all of the issues and concerns that surround AI today.
One of the most persistent worries in
the business community is whether any of the various large language models
(LLMs) are really ready for prime time and for widespread adoption by companies
looking to incorporate these new technologies into their day-to-day operations.
Even if you are willing to put aside
all of the commentary about hallucinations and false references, and the
circularity problems raised by these systems blindly ingesting the garbage
already being generated by other AI systems and thereby diluting the value and
accuracy of their own outputs, you still reach the fundamental question of
which version of the “truth” your own people can rely upon. Or even choosing
among competing offerings that are now creating and delivering inconsistent and
conflicting results.
It’s a very tough choice for the IT
department to decide which LLM, if any, to endorse and adopt at this point.
While a segregated sandbox to be experimented with wouldn’t cost a bundle
(apart from the overhead and personnel time), once any firm tried to
incorporate these systems into their own workflow at the enterprise level and
install it in hundreds of seats, you’d be talking about a few hundred thousand
dollars.
I guess that if you don’t care where
you end up, and you’ve got money to burn and want to tell your board that
you’re doing something, any road will get you there.
A free consumer offering and a novelty
accessed by millions of curious users is one thing. People will try anything
for nothing, especially folks with plenty of time on their hands and nothing to
lose. But this is not a sustainable solution for serious operators on either
side of the equation and – as we have already seen – it’s also not a remotely
profitable model for the primary providers, since they lose money on every
inquiry.
Why They’re Trying to Get Everyone Hooked on AI
All the big guys are racing to create
a viable AI assistant for the little people in the hopes (as has happened in
the past) that adoption from the outside in (remember all the ad world
creatives using Macs) will eventually dictate which larger solution a given
business will adopt. If your people all love Perplexity, you don’t really want
to start swimming upstream and pushing some other choice.
The civilian population is already
reaching the point of confusion and fatigue because there are at least half a
dozen major offerings in the market with more variations and versions coming
every day. ChatGPT presently towers above the rest with more than 350 million
monthly active users.
But Microsoft, Google, and DeepSeek
are already reaching some reasonable levels of scale and it’s never smart to
bet against fast followers when they are as deeply entrenched and well-funded
as these guys are. Watching Microsoft Teams slowly eat Slack’s lunch is a good indicator of where
these things often end up.
Microsoft’s decision to shut down
Skype and put the functionality into the Teams package is another good
indicator of the old tech rule that winners take all. Remember that Microsoft
itself spent $8.5 billion in 2011 to buy Skype to replace its own mediocre
video offering.
The AI Race Is Still Wide Open
No one is there yet in the AI race.
The main riddle is to make the assistant contextually savvy, and
surprisingly Amazon is a player in this race because of Alexa. With more than
600 million Alexa-enabled devices, the world is already comfortable asking
Alexa for help. And with new tech, familiarity builds acceptance and comfort
rather than contempt. It’s still a “go with what you know” world.
All the major players aspire and claim
to be delivering the most accurate and comprehensive responses to carefully
crafted prompts. In fact, the demand for prompt architects and prompt
engineering has exploded as it becomes clear that even the best answer is
useless if you’re asking the wrong questions.
We’re also seeing a surge in new
businesses aiming to deliver industry-specific AI tools like GPT-4o for Law and
also startups that offer to help companies build their own small and custom
models based on their own proprietary data. The idea is to avoid the
generic overkill and costs of the major LLMs. You don’t have to boil the ocean
and burn big bucks every time you need some straightforward answers about your
own business and customers.
One other interesting new
startup, Avatar
Buddy, builds low-cost, task- and role-specific “buddies” for
sales and support people, as well as experts and digital twins for
educators, which provide real-time assistance and direction to folks in
the field.
But all these conversations tend to
return to the core issue, which is: How is a buyer supposed to evaluate and
decide between these many alternative tools when even extensive, comparative
tests are inconclusive or contradictory? There’s very little credible guidance
so far; the players keep updating their solutions and moving the measurement
goal posts.
Which means that for the foreseeable
future, if you want to hold your nose and jump into the pool, you’re probably
best advised to follow Yogi Berra’s classic advice: When you come to the fork
in the road, take it.
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