The Nightmare on Pennsylvania Avenue
Trump
is the kind of boss who can’t do the job — and won’t go away.
By Paul Krugman
Opinion
Columnist
·
July 30, 2020, 6:39 p.m. ET
Every worker’s nightmare is the
horrible boss — everyone knows at least one — who is utterly incompetent yet
refuses to step aside. Such bosses have the reverse Midas touch — everything
they handle turns to crud — but they’ll pull out every stop, violate every
norm, to stay in that corner office. And they damage, sometimes destroy, the
institutions they’re supposed to lead.
Donald Trump is, of course, one of
those bosses. Unfortunately, he’s not just a bad business executive. He is, God
help us, the president. And the institution he may destroy is the United States
of America.
Has any previous president failed his
big test as thoroughly as Trump has these past few months? He rejected the
advice of health experts and pushed for a rapid economic reopening, hoping for
a boom leading into the election. He ridiculed and belittled measures that
would have helped slow the spread of the coronavirus, including wearing face
masks and practicing social distancing, turning what should have been common
sense into a front in the culture war.
The result has been disaster both
epidemiological and economic.
Over
the past week the U.S. death toll from
Covid-19 averaged more than 1,000 people a day, compared with just four — four!
— per day in Germany. Vice President Mike Pence’s mid-June declaration that
“There isn’t a coronavirus ‘second wave’” felt like whistling in the dark even
at the time; now it feels like a sick joke.
And all those extra deaths don’t seem
to have bought us anything in terms of economic performance. America’s economic
contraction in the first half of 2020 was almost identical to
the contraction in Germany, despite our far higher death toll. And while life
in Germany has in many ways returned to normal, a variety of indicators suggest that after two months of rapid job growth,
the U.S. recovery is stalling in the face of a resurgent pandemic.
Wait, it gets worse. Trump, his
officials and their allies in the Senate have been totally committed to the
idea that the U.S. economy will experience a stunningly rapid recovery despite
the wave of new infections and deaths. They bought into that view so completely
that they seem incapable of taking on board the overwhelming evidence that it
isn’t happening.
Just a few days ago Larry Kudlow, Trump’s
top economist, insisted that a so-called V-shaped recovery was still on track and
that “unemployment claims and continuing claims are falling rapidly.” In
fact, both are rising.
But
because the Trump team insisted that a roaring recovery was coming, and refused
to notice that it wasn’t happening, we’ve now stumbled into a completely
gratuitous economic crisis.
Thanks to Republican inaction, millions
of unemployed workers have seen their last checks from the Pandemic
Unemployment Compensation program, which was meant to sustain them through a
coronavirus-ravaged economy; the virus is still raging, but their life support
has been cut off.
So Trump has completely botched his
job, bringing unnecessary pain to millions of Americans and unnecessary death
to thousands. He may not care, but voters do. So he should be trying to turn
things around, if only as a matter of political and personal self-interest.
But here’s the thing: Even if Trump
were the kind of guy who could learn from his mistakes, it’s too late. If we
had found ourselves in our current situation a year ago, there might still have
been time for Trump to get the virus under control and turn the economy around.
But the election is just around the corner.
Suppose that the numbers on deaths and
jobs were to get somewhat better over the next three months. How much would
that improve voters’ views of the denier in chief? How much credence would the
public give, even to genuinely good news, after the false dawn this past
spring? At this point Trump is simply a failed president, and everyone except
his die-hard supporters knows it.
But as I said at the beginning, Trump
is one of those nightmare bosses who can’t do the job but won’t step aside.
So of course he’s now talking
about delaying the election.
This was predictable; indeed, Joe Biden predicted
it months ago, amid much mockery from pundits (none of whom, I predict, will
apologize).
Now,
Trump can’t do that. There will be an election on Nov. 3. But what Trump can
do, if he loses, is claim that the election was stolen, that there were
millions of fraudulent votes, that the results aren’t legitimate. Hey, he did
that after losing the popular vote in 2016, even though he won the Electoral
College.
Such antics almost surely wouldn’t let
him stay in the White House, although the process of getting him out may be …
interesting. But they could produce a lot of chaos and quite possibly some
violence across the nation. And anyone who doesn’t think disgruntled Trump
supporters would try to sabotage a Biden administration — including its efforts
to deal with the pandemic — hasn’t been paying attention.
This is what happens when you put a
horrible boss in charge of running the country. And nobody can say when, if
ever, the damage will be repaired.